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BlackRock, the world's largest asset manager, has a "Geopolitical Risk Dashboard" that analyzes leading risks. Thank you for signing up.Please expect an email within 24 hours confirming your subscription status. Technology is a focus for the new European Commission. How do we search for income in a low-rate world? All other trademarks are those of their respective owners. Stay in the know through weekly insights on global markets and the economy. Our new BlackRock geopolitical risk dashboard provides a starting point for framing these hard-to-quantify variables. © 2020 BlackRock, Inc. All rights reserved. It features both data-driven market attention trackers (BlackRock geopolitical risk indicators, or BGRIs) and judgment-based assessments of our top 10 risks. Before you proceed, please take a moment to review and accept the following Terms and Conditions. Browse some of our recent geopolitical methodologies and thought leadership, and contact our global experts for more insights. We explore the often overlooked risk of water stress and its financial implications on portfolios. Although this material is based upon information that BlackRock considers reliable and endeavors to keep current, BlackRock does not assure that this material is accurate, current or complete, and it should not be relied upon as such. We help business leaders understand political events and their implications for corporations and financial markets – from a company’s local footprint to its global supply chain, and a country’s fiscal policy to its economic outlook. Decisions based on information contained on this Website are the sole responsibility of the visitor. Coding: green=potential risk, yellow=elevated risk, orange=high risk, red=very high risk. Ahead of Davos, take a look at a sample of our global insights on the economic and financial outlook, geopolitics, sustainability and other key trends. 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The high velocity markets seen in a COVID world have produced 5 ETF statistics to watch – many investors are turning to ETFs due to their flexibility. If any provision of these Terms is deemed unlawful, void, or for any reason unenforceable, then that provision will be deemed severable from these Terms and will not affect the validity and enforceability of the remaining provisions. Rick Rieder, Portfolio Manager, speaks about the Global Allocation Fund – celebrating how it is one of today’s most exciting investment opportunities. The Benchmark Index (GPR) uses 11 newspapers and starts in 1985. BlackRock geopolitical risk dashboard. We take a deep dive into the race between the two countries for global technological leadership. From U.S.-Iran tensions to the U.S.-China trade conflict, to the uptick in global protests, we look discuss the geopolitical risks that are worth monitoring. Market attention to European fragmentation has declined from its May peak, as acute risks to European integration—beyond Brexit—have subsided. Markets have been roiled by fears over the impact of the coronavirus outbreak. More articles loaded. Save for the future or pay off debt? Despite reticence in some countries around the impact of certain climate goals on key domestic industries, broad public support for environmental action will reduce the likelihood of intra-EU political frictions spilling over. Competition policy will be leveraged by the Commission to push back on the market power of U.S. platforms, in order  to create space for EU competitors to grow.  Likely retaliation by the U.S. (e.g. At the center of the geopolitical debate? 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There, our BlackRock Geopolitical Risk Indicators (BGRIs) for each risk can help assess to what extent the geopolitical risks are priced in. In exchange for using this Website, the visitor agrees to indemnify and hold BlackRock, its officers, directors, employees, affiliates, agents, licensors and suppliers harmless against any and all claims, losses, liability, costs and expenses (including but not limited to attorneys' fees) arising from your use of this Website, from the visitor's violation of these Terms or from any decisions that the visitor makes based on such information. Though the European Parliament has opened disciplinary procedures against Hungary and Poland for their attacks on the media and politicization of the judiciary, both countries have agreed to block sanctions against the other. Such content is solely for your personal, non-commercial use. Despite reticence in some countries around the impact of certain climate goals on key domestic industries, broad public support for environmental action will reduce the likelihood of intra-EU political frictions spilling over. You should note that shares or units may only be redeemed directly from the Funds by persons or entities registered as participating dealers in very large redemption sizes. Tensions between Italy’s populist government and Brussels rise over spending rules and other policies, and Italy threatens to leave the bloc. Brexit: The political situation in the UK remains in flux, yet recent developments have widened the distribution of possible outcomes. This is fundamentally reshaping the investment landscape and will be key to investor outcomes. Conflicts over data sovereignty loom as Europe’s General Data Protection Regime (GDPR) is due for review in the coming years. BlackRock Macro GPS Get an early peek at the likely evolution of growth expectations for key economies. YOU ACKNOWLEDGE THAT BY ACCESSING OUR WEBSITE AFTER WE HAVE POSTED CHANGES TO THESE TERMS, YOU ARE AGREEING TO THESE TERMS AS MODIFIED. At the time of writing, parties have resumed intense negotiations for a deal. The BGRI’s risk scenario is for illustrative purposes only and does not reflect all possible outcomes as geopolitical risks are ever-evolving. This would increase the potential for European “fraying,” rather than fragmentation. At the time of writing, parties have resumed intense negotiations for a deal. Explore the top 10 geopolitical risks and their potential market impact. Issued by BlackRock Investment Management (UK) Limited, authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority. Should a deal not be secured by Oct. 19, Johnson would be forced to request an extension – which would likely be granted. The implementation of a carbon border tax would also create opposition in the U.S. Should a deal not be secured by Oct. 19, Johnson would be forced to request an extension – which would likely be granted. All trademarks, service marks, trade names, and logos displayed on this Website are proprietary to BlackRock and/or their respective owners. 200010143N). In Hong Kong, this material is issued by BlackRock Asset Management North Asia Limited and has not been reviewed by the Securities and Futures Commission of Hong Kong. In South Korea, this material is for distribution to the Qualified Professional Investors (as defined in the Financial Investment Services and Capital Market Act and its sub-regulations). In Taiwan, Independently operated by BlackRock Investment Management (Taiwan) Limited. With four parties polling evenly, the outcome of an election is uncertain. Change is measured with respect to the previous quarter; the outlook refers to the forthcoming quarter. 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As Russ explains in his latest article, that offers a clue into what could cause the next move. BlackRock shall be free to use, for any purpose, any ideas, concepts, know-how, or techniques provided by a website user to BlackRock through this Website. Explore the on-demand content from our flagship virtual summit in July, where BlackRock leaders were joined by policymakers and industry experts. We provide geopolitical risk consulting and advisory that is timely, market-relevant and forward-looking. In its dispute with the U.S., Europe has made clear that it will not be the first to take actions, but will stand to defend itself. Address: 28F., No. Corrections are normal but that doesn't mean they feel good. Macro uncertainties were amplified but Momentum continued to lead. Geopolitical risk dashboard Introduction and highlights We see geopolitical risk as a material market factor in 2019, especially in an environment of slowing growth and elevated uncertainty about the economic and corporate earnings outlook. Technology regulation: Technology is a focus for the new European Commission. In all scenarios, an election appears likely soon after Oct. 31. Different levels of economic ties to the U.S. and varying bilateral political relationships means that certain countries may be less willing to bear the potential cost of a more assertive trade policy. Consider the importance of fixed income ETFs. Any distribution, by whatever means, of this document and related material to persons other than those referred to above is strictly prohibited. For investors in Israel: BlackRock Investment Management (UK) Limited is not licensed under Israel's Regulation of Investment Advice, Investment Marketing and Portfolio Management Law, 5755-1995 (the “Advice Law”), nor does it carry insurance thereunder. In Singapore, this is issued by BlackRock (Singapore) Limited (Co. registration no. The securities regulators of such countries have not confirmed the accuracy of any information contained herein. BY UTILIZING THE WEBSITE LOCATED AT www.blackrock.com/sg ("WEBSITE"), YOU ACKNOWLEDGE THAT YOU HAVE READ THESE TERMS AND THAT YOU AGREE TO BE BOUND BY THEM. A zero score represents the average BGRI level over its history from 2003 up to that point in time. More articles loaded. Bond ETFs send a clear signal in a coronavirus environment as investors turn to fixed income ETF funds. The BGRI’s risk scenario is for illustrative purposes only and does not reflect all possible outcomes as geopolitical risks are ever-evolving. EU member states will unevenly experience the effects of frictions with the U.S. We don’t see any of these issues as a serious challenge to European unity, but each has the potential to to escalate tensions with the U.S. Data as of October 31, 2019. Notes: We identify specific words related to this geopolitical risk in general and to our top -10 risks. BlackRock’s Geopolitical Risk Dashboard As of June 30, 2019, BlackRock’s A ssets U nder M anagement (AUM) total $6.84 trillion across equity, fixed income, cash management, alternative investment, real estate, and advisory strategies. The information provided here is neither tax nor legal advice. The response of precious metals to geopolitical risk differs considerably from that of other assets. BlackRock expressly disclaims all liability for errors and omissions in the materials on this Website and for the use or interpretation by others of information contained on the Website. Use Shift+Tab keys to browse. Welcome to the BlackRock site for individuals. Our geopolitical experts identify potential escalation triggers for each risk and assess the most likely manifestation of the risk over the next six months. Read our Q1 2020 equity market outlook. Russ Koesterich, CFA, discusses in his latest article and shares his takeaways. The level of The use of the images displayed on this Website by you, or anyone else authorized by you, is prohibited. This material is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice or an offer or solicitation to sell or a solicitation of an offer to buy any shares of any fund or security. Get grounded in ETFs with simple charts. The contents of this Website have been prepared without regard to the investment objectives, financial situation, or means of any particular person or entity, and the Website is not soliciting any action based upon them. Explore our tailored geopolitical solutions and learn how we can help your business in areas such as scenario planning, due diligence, geopolitical risk management. Where do the opportunities lie in this environment? Faster-than-expected growth could prompt tax cuts, thereby boosting government popularity and growth further. Our top-10 geopolitical risks. Of the three risks we flagged, only Brexit remains acute. In Greece, elections brought to power a center right government committed to its surplus target. Conflict over the 2020 budget is unlikely, with a confrontational government in Italy and a more conciliatory Commission in place. Any projections or examples (including calculations used therein) are for illustrative purposes only and are not guaranteed to be accurate or complete. U.S.-EU trade: Europe is generally united in taking a more central role in the global trade system. In all scenarios, an election appears likely soon after Oct. 31. In addition, you are responsible for setting the cache settings on your browser to ensure you are receiving the most recent data. Russ Koesterich, Portfolio Manager for BlackRock's Global Allocation Fund, discusses the importance of keeping perspective as we face an unprecedented crisis. BR Geopolitical Risk Dashboard EconoMagic Eco Policy Uncertainty EconStats Eurostat FRED MSCI Morningstar OECD Stats Our World In Data Partisan Conflict Index Quandl Frank Russell Co Shiller S&P Sector ETFs S&P Dow Jones Indices Standard & Poor’s Stock Charts Trading Economics Whale Wisdom Wilshire US gov’t data. With this in mind, we find it notable and concerning that the latest breakout of anti-EU populism occurred amid peak post-crisis cyclical performance for the eurozone. To the fullest extent permissible pursuant to applicable law, BlackRock disclaims all warranties, including, but not limited to, any warranty of non-infringement of third-party rights and any implied warranties of merchantability and fitness for a particular purpose. EU member states will unevenly experience the effects of frictions with the U.S. 17068311. BSF Americas Diversified Equity Absolute Return Fund, iShares Edge S&P 500 Minimum Volatility UCITS ETF. Economy in our geopolitical risk dashboard provides a starting point for framing these hard-to-quantify.... Clue into what could cause the next move here is neither tax nor advice! Words belonging to Search groups 5 and 6 be intercepted by third.... Green deal the bloc your objectives, financial situation and needs asset,! 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2020 geopolitical risk dashboard